SP500 Remains Above Daily Support … For Now
By Corey Rosenbloom   
April 19, 2010

Before panicking at the sell-off Friday, take a moment to look at the simple price structure on the S&P 500 short-term charts. For now – and until proven otherwise with a break – we’re still above critical support, so it may be early for panic.

Let’s take a look at the Daily and hourly chart of the S&P 500 index:

04/19/10
Click on image to enlarge!


I’ve been highlighting the importance of rising trendlines lately, and we’re still above the dominant short-term trendline… and 20 day EMA.

Price sold off 1.6% Friday after forming a spinning top reversal-style candle at the upper Bollinger Band on a negative internals divergence… all bearish.

It’s one thing to have a ‘retracement sell’ signal and a ‘full trend reversal’ signal. We are a few more steps away from any sort of reversal, based on the data we have right now.

However, it was very logical to expect some sort of pullback to support. How deep the pullback goes is the question.

For now, we need to watch the 1,180 level as key, which is the rising 20 day EMA.

For reference, we also have the rising 50 day EMA at 1,160 and the ‘line in the sand’ or prior price high at 1,150.

Above that, and where price bounced on Friday, we see the rising trend channel which currently rests near the 1,190 level.

We all want to call exact tops and bottoms, but it’s often better to wait for proof, or at least confirmation in the form of price breaking trendlines and daily moving averages.

With that in mind, let’s drop down now to the pure trendline (with moving averages) on the hourly frame.

04/19/10
Click on image to enlarge!


For more daily updates from Corey, visit his blog at Afraid to Trade.com

 
Banner
This website is for educational purposes only. Offers and events from 3rd party vendors are provided for convenience only. Trader Kingdom is not responsible for the content of a 3rd party website or their services.

Futures, options, and spot currency trading have large potential risk and traders should be well-educated before putting real money at risk. You must be aware of the risks and willing to accept them in order to invest in all markets. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy/sell a futures contract or currency.