Key Support Level Bonds TLT Must Hold to Prevent a Bearish Reversal

What quick-reference levels should we be watching on the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average and why are the trendline patterns different?

Let’s start with the S&P 500’s rising wedge pattern:

$INX S&P 500 Index 30 Minute Chart

There’s certainly more than one way to draw similar trendlines, but the pattern above shows a compressing or potential “Rising Wedge” pattern developing in the S&P 500.

Our key focal points are the easy-to-remember 1,970 (today’s spike-reversal low) and 1,982 which has developed as a short-term resistance/reversal level.

Note the negative divergences that undercut the early July and present rallies into the 1,980 level.

We’ll be neutral between these two levels and otherwise breakdown bearish on a clean impulse under the 1,970 region.

Otherwise, do note that the trend and structure is rising and it has been a better strategy to trade with the bulls/buyers rather than against them.

The structure is slightly different – as are the levels – in the Dow Jones:

$INDU Dow Jones 30 Minute Chart

The Dow Jones takes on a more traditional “Rising Parallel Trendline Channel” or Rising Rectangle Structure.

As such, the key focal points remain the 17,150 high and similar spike-reversal low off 17,050 (along with the midpoint or “Round Number” 17,000 level).

Failure here – in a break under 17,050 – suggests that the Dow will logically trade down as it has previously toward the midpoint (17,00)) then the 16,850 rising lower trendline support target.

No matter what others strategies or indicators you use for your analysis, keep these simple trendline targets in mind.

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