Gartley Pattern Providing Fibonacci Support on Crude
By Mark Braun   
January 13, 2011

In last week's article I discussed the likelihood of a pullback on Crude since price had reached overlapping Fibonacci targets. But the outstanding major upside target made it more likely that we'd just see an interim high with support holding on a pullback. Here's the updated daily chart:

01/13/11
Click on image to enlarge!


The major target just above $99 is the 1.272 extension of last April’s high to May’s low. The high against targets held, but the pullback was rather minor. Holding at the .382 retracement from the prior low to high swing implies that there’s still a great deal of interest in upside here. And there was strong confirmation of support holding on the intraday charts as well. Here’s a 60 minute:

01/13/11
Click on image to enlarge!


The A-B-C-D correction labeled also qualifies as an even stronger Gartley support pattern since the downside target extensions also overlapped strong daily support retracements. This is a zig-zag corrective move which fulfills very specific Fibonacci based requirements. When it shows up, there’s a very high probability that it will hold. Point C on the chart held at the .618 retracement resistance of point A to B. At that point, we run downside target extensions from point B to C, and look for a hold at or between the 1.272 and 1.618 targets to downside as point D. The initial target projected is 1.272 times the entire swing taken from point A to point D as shown at $94. Even a conservative entry based on this timeframe would have occurred with a CCI trigger at 89, with earlier entries possible from a faster chart. This also coincided with an additional confirming daily long side trigger, and since all support held on the daily, longer term investors had no reason to see the upside pattern as violated in any way.

For more from Mark including his “Chart of the Day”, visit MJBraun.net.

 
Banner
This website is for educational purposes only. Offers and events from 3rd party vendors are provided for convenience only. Trader Kingdom is not responsible for the content of a 3rd party website or their services.

Futures, options, and spot currency trading have large potential risk and traders should be well-educated before putting real money at risk. You must be aware of the risks and willing to accept them in order to invest in all markets. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy/sell a futures contract or currency.