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EUROPEAN STOCKS: Major
European bourses are initially seen
trading lower Friday. Spreadbetters
Cantor Index are calling the FTSE
down 30, the DAX down 33 and the
CAC down 19.
US STOCKS: The Dow Jones
Industrial Average closed down 22
points at 12734.63 and the Nasdaq
Composite closed down 13 points at
2805.28. Earlier, the Dow Industrials
posted a new 2012 high of 12,841.95
and the Nasdaq posted a new 2012
high of 2834.30. US index futures
are trading modestly lower in Asia
Friday. The S&P Mar contract was
last 1.1 lower at 1314.2, with the
Nasdaq Mar contract down 0.5
points at 2453.0. Dow futures are
also lower, down 4 points at 12680
JGBS: Japanese government bond
prices were mostly higher this
morning as short-covering was
triggered by overnight rises in U.S.
Treasury prices. But some gains
were erased by profit-taking amid
concern over higher prices led by
recent rapid rises in prices leaving
JGBs top-heavy with market players
waiting for fresh material for trading.
The benchmark 10-year yield was
1.5 bps lower at 0.965%
JAPAN STOCKS: Japan's
benchmark stock indices ended
Friday's session lower. The Nikkei
ended down 0.09%, to stand at
8841.22. The broader-based TOPIX
was lower by 2.30 points at 762.31.
FX MARKETS: Euro-dollar opened in
Asia at $1.3109 after slipping back
from NY highs of $1.3184 on soft US
housing data and comments from
Juncker that the ECB wouldn't
accept losses on Greek debt which
weighed on sentiment. Asian
markets this morning saw some
heavy selling of euro-yen and
aussie-yen into the Tokyo fix, which
helped push euro-dollar down
through $1.3080 stops to $1.3077
before a recovery back to $1.3119.
Dollar-yen continued to give backs
gains from Wednesday's
highs, opening at Y77.47 and falling
to Y77.27 on cross sales before
returning towards opening levels.
Another push then saw stops hit
through Y77.25 to Y76.90 as traders
booked profits ahead of the
weekend. Cable drifted lower to
$1.5661 from $1.5697, with the eurostg adding weight on a rise to
stg0.8364 from stg0.8344. Euroswiss remained under pressure as
traders continue to target the chf
1.2050 barrier, but held up in a tight
chf1.2061-74 range. Aussie-dollar
eased with the euro from $1.0641 to
$1.0592 before recovering to sit
around $1.0610.
OIL: Crude futures are trading higher
in Asia, although sitting just below
$100. The front-month WTI contract
was last 20 cent shigher at $99.90,
having traded a range of $99.65 to
$100.40.
Technical Analysis
BUND: (H12) Pressures 21-Day Moving Average
Click on image to enlarge!
RES 4: 140.16/23/26 1.75% yield, High, Bollinger
RES 3: 139.51 76.4% of 140.23-137.18
RES 2: 139.06 61.8% of 140.23-137.18
RES 1: 138.92 High 26 Jan
LAST PRICE: 138.82
SUP 1: 137.82/85 Gap base from Jan 25, 5-DMA
SUP 2: 137.18 Double-day low 24, 25 Jan, Bollinger
SUP 3: 136.69 Low 21 Dec
SUP 4: 136.55 50% retracement of 132.87 rally
COMMENTARY: H12 pushed back to break the 21-DMA, which today comes in at 138.71. Close above here is positive and comes with recovering momentum, but the daily stochastic study remains weak, sending a warning signal and suggesting the 21-DMA could be pivotal.
Eurostoxx50 Techs: Bulls Try to Focus on 200-DMA
Click on image to enlarge!
RES 4: 2523.9 61.8% retracement of 2887 decline
RES 3: 2506.2 High 28 Oct
RES 2: 2470.0 Bollinger band
RES 1: 2462.0 200-day moving average
PREVIOUS CLOSE: 2460.4
SUP 1: 2398.4 Low 25 Jan
SUP 2: 2368.0 21-day moving average
SUP 3: 2295.0 55-day moving average
SUP 4: 2279.7 Low 9 Jan
COMMENTARY: 2012 has seen the index build on support from the 21-DMA and follow the top of the Bollinger band higher amid positive daily studies. The bulls now have that 200-DMA in their sights, although with overstretched daily studies, the market may fade here for now.
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